What is the HHI (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index)?
The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) is a widely-used measure of market concentration that indicates the level of competition within an industry. Named after economists Orris C. Herfindahl and Albert O. Hirschman, the HHI is calculated by summing the squares of the market share percentages of all firms in a market.
The HHI is the primary measure used by the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) to evaluate the competitive effects of mergers and acquisitions. It provides a single number that reflects both the number of firms in a market and the distribution of their market shares.
How to Calculate HHI
The HHI formula is straightforward:
Where S₁, S₂, S₃, etc. are the market share percentages of each firm. Note that you use the percentage value directly (not the decimal), so a 30% market share is entered as 30, not 0.30.
Example Calculation
Consider a market with four companies:
- Company A: 40% market share
- Company B: 30% market share
- Company C: 20% market share
- Company D: 10% market share
HHI = 40² + 30² + 20² + 10² = 1,600 + 900 + 400 + 100 = 3,000
This market would be classified as moderately concentrated.
HHI Thresholds and Interpretation
The U.S. DOJ and FTC use these thresholds to classify market concentration:
Unconcentrated Market
Competitive market with many participants. Mergers typically raise no concerns.
Moderately Concentrated
Some concentration exists. Mergers that increase HHI by 100+ may warrant scrutiny.
Highly Concentrated
Significant market power. Mergers likely to face regulatory review.
HHI Usage in Antitrust Analysis
Merger Guidelines
When evaluating mergers, regulators look at both the post-merger HHI level and the change in HHI (ΔHHI):
- ΔHHI < 100: Unlikely to raise competitive concerns regardless of concentration level
- ΔHHI 100-200 in moderately concentrated markets: May warrant scrutiny
- ΔHHI > 200 in highly concentrated markets: Presumed to be likely to enhance market power
Calculating Merger Impact
For a merger between two firms, the change in HHI can be calculated simply as:
Where S₁ and S₂ are the market shares of the merging firms. For example, if a firm with 20% market share merges with a firm with 15% market share: ΔHHI = 2 × 20 × 15 = 600 points.
HHI vs. Concentration Ratio
While the concentration ratio (CR) measures the combined market share of the top firms (e.g., CR4 for top 4 firms), the HHI has several advantages:
- Reflects distribution: HHI accounts for the relative sizes of all firms, not just the largest
- Sensitive to inequality: Markets with similar CR4 can have very different HHI values
- Mathematical properties: HHI has useful mathematical properties for merger analysis
- Regulatory acceptance: HHI is the standard measure used by antitrust authorities
Limitations of HHI
- Market definition: HHI accuracy depends on correctly defining the relevant market
- Static measure: Doesn't capture dynamic competition or potential entry
- Geographic considerations: National HHI may not reflect local market conditions
- Product differentiation: Doesn't account for differences in products within a market
- Barriers to entry: A high HHI with low barriers may still be competitive
Industry Examples
| Industry | Typical HHI Range | Concentration Level |
|---|---|---|
| Restaurants | 200 - 500 | Very Low |
| Retail Banking (Local) | 1,000 - 2,000 | Low to Moderate |
| Wireless Carriers | 2,500 - 3,500 | High |
| Operating Systems | 4,000 - 6,000 | Very High |
| Search Engines | 6,000 - 8,000 | Near Monopoly |